Georgia vs. Texas Picks and Prediction for Saturday, January 24, 2026

By: Victor King Published 01/24/2026, 07:10 AM ET
Georgia vs. Texas prediction

Georgia Bulldogs (16-3) vs. Texas Longhorns (11-8) 

The 2025-26 college basketball season continues Saturday, January 24, with the Georgia Bulldogs taking on the Texas Longhorns in the SEC showdown at Moody Center in Austin, TX, and we’ve got you covered with our Georgia vs. Texas prediction.

The Bulldogs meet the Longhorns for the first time this season. Texas joined the SEC in 2024-25 and met Georgia once, suffering an 83-67 defeat at Moody Center. The Longhorns are winless in three straight meetings with the Bulldogs.

Let’s take a closer look at this Georgia vs. Texas prediction, one of our NCAAB picks for Saturday’s card. The tip-off is set at 1:00 PM ET, and the Longhorns are small 1.5-point home favorites with a total of 168.5 points.

Georgia shoots for its third straight win                    

The Georgia Bulldogs (16-3; 9-10 ATS; 10-9 O/U) have gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS since conference play started and are undefeated in their last two outings. After a 90-76 home victory over No. 17 Arkansas, the Bulldogs outlasted Missouri 74-72 on the road this past Tuesday.

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Georgia beat Missouri as a slight road dog despite making just 36.9% of its field goals (8-for-29 from deep). The Bulldogs went 18-for-21 from the foul line and posted a staggering 19 offensive rebounds. Junior guard Marcus Millender led the way with 18 points, including a go-ahead three-point play with 5.5 seconds left on the clock.

Millender has been coming off the bench all season. He tallies 11.8 points and 3.5 assists per game. Sophomore guard Jeremiah Wilkinson is Georgia’s leading scorer with 17.7 points per game, while junior guard Blue Cain averages 14.0 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists.

The Bulldogs are No. 24 in the NCAA NET Rankings and No. 21 in the AP Top 25 Poll. They score 121.6 points per 100 possessions (40th in the country) and allow 101.6 points in return (45th). The Bulldogs play at the fastest pace in the country (74.9 possessions per 40 minutes) and rank 26th in offensive rebound percentage (37.1%).

Texas looks to snap its two-game skid                                                                             

The Texas Longhorns (11-8; 10-8 ATS; 11-7 O/U) have gone 2-4 SU and ATS since the start of conference play and are winless in two straight outings. In their previous two showings, the Longhorns have suffered a 74-70 home defeat to Texas A&M and an 85-80 road loss at Kentucky.

Last Wednesday, the Longhorns made 46.9% of their field goals and went 18-for-20 from the foul line. However, they allowed 35 free throws to Kentucky while hitting just two of their 18 shots from beyond the arc. Junior guard Dailyn Swain led the way for Texas with 29 points and six rebounds.

Swain tallies 16.4 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. Sophomore center Matas Vokietaitis posts 15.2 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, and senior guard Tramon Mark adds 13.3 points and 3.3 boards a night.

Texas is No. 43 in the NCAA NET Rankings. The Longhorns score 125.1 points per 100 possessions (15th in the country) and surrender 107.6 points in return (120th). They are 182nd in the nation in pace (67.6 possessions per 40 minutes) and 18th in offensive rebound percentage (37.7%).

Georgia vs. Texas Pick 

Spread Pick for Georgia vs. Texas              

  • Texas -1.5 (5 units) 

I like Texas in this matchup. First and foremost, the Longhorns are a better rebounding team than Georgia. Texas is 52nd in the country in defensive rebound percentage (72.4%), whereas Georgia ranks 298th in this category (66.2%). Second, the Longhorns are a very dangerous offensive team. They take good care of the ball and love to get to the free-throw line.

Just two teams in the country score more points from the foul line per game than Texas (20.7). Georgia is arguably a better defensive team than Texas, but the Bulldogs are not a great 3-point shooting team, and the Longhorns’ interior defense has been solid thus far.

Over/Under Pick for Georgia vs. Texas                  

  • Over 168.5 (5 units) 

The Longhorns will certainly look to slow things down in this game. As I said, the Bulldogs play at the fastest pace in the country. However, both teams love to crash the offensive glass and try to get to the charity stripe as much as possible.

Hereof, I will take the over. I expect a ton of free throws and second-chance points in this matchup. Texas heavily leans on its offense, and the Longhorns’ defense is far from elite level. They don’t force a lot of turnovers (312th in defensive turnover percentage, 14.8%).

The under has hit in four of Georgia’s last five games overall, but the over has hit in 10 of Texas’ previous 14. Also, the over is 16-3 in the Longhorns’ last 19 outings in conference play.

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