Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers Picks and Prediction for Wednesday January 28 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 01/28/2026, 08:05 AM ET

The Mississippi State Bulldogs, who hold an even 10-10 record overall and are 2-5 in conference play, are hitting the road to Baton Rouge, Louisiana for a matchup against the LSU Tigers. The Tigers currently sit at 13-7 overall, but have struggled a bit in SEC competition with a 1-6 record. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Game Information

  • January 28, 2026
  • 7:00pm EST
  • Pete Maravich Assembly Center
  • SECN+

LSU Form & Recent Results

LSU enters this game hoping to turn things around after dropping their last two matchups and losing four of their previous five. In their most recent game, an 85-81 defeat against Arkansas in Fayetteville on Saturday, Dedan Thomas Jr. made a strong impact with 18 points and 5 assists, while Pablo Tamba pulled down an impressive 10 rebounds for the Tigers. Despite a solid performance at the free-throw line, where LSU hit 88% of their shots, and leading the scoreboard for nearly two-thirds of the contest, they weren’t able to secure the win. The Tigers also collected 36 rebounds in that game, an effort they’ll look to carry over as they head into the next challenge.

Looking at LSU’s season so far, Dedan Thomas Jr. has been their offensive anchor, leading the team with an average of 15.2 points per game. Max Mackinnon isn’t far behind, chipping in 14.6 points on average, giving the Tigers a reliable scoring duo. On the boards, Marquel Sutton stands out as the top rebounder, averaging 8.3 per contest, while Thomas Jr. also leads in distributing the ball, averaging 6.7 assists each game. Defensively, LSU has struggled lately, allowing an average of 76.8 points over their last five games. However, they’ve been much stronger on their home court, boasting a 9-2 record and averaging 89.5 points at home. As they prepare to host the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday night, LSU will be eager to capitalize on their home-court advantage and avoid picking up their seventh loss in SEC play.

Mississippi State Form & Recent Results

Mississippi State comes into this game hoping to snap a tough five-game losing streak that’s weighed down their season. Their most recent matchup was a rough one, a lopsided 88-56 defeat against Vanderbilt on their own court this past Saturday. In that game, Jayden Epps paced the Bulldogs with 14 points, while Sergej Macura pulled down 8 rebounds and Jamarion Davis-Fleming chipped in with 2 assists. Despite the recent struggles, some players have stood out over the course of the year. Freshman Josh Hubbard has been a bright spot, leading the team in scoring by averaging 21 points per game. Meanwhile, Epps has been a reliable secondary scorer, notching 15.2 points on average. When it comes to rebounding, Achor Achor leads Mississippi State with a solid 6.9 boards per game. Hubbard also leads the way in creating opportunities, dishing out a team-best 3.6 assists per game.

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Over the span of this five-game skid, defense has been an issue for the Bulldogs, as they’ve given up an average of 86.6 points to their opponents. However, they’ve shown resilience on the road, splitting their away games with a 2-2 record and averaging 80.5 points per game away from home. The Bulldogs actually started their conference season strong, picking up two early wins. Since then, though, things have taken a turn, as they’ve dropped five straight conference games. With their season at a crossroads, Mississippi State is eager to right the ship. They’re looking to end their losing streak and pick up a much-needed conference victory when they travel to Baton Rouge for their next game.

Key Stats

  • Mississippi State Bulldogs this season: 44% field goal percentage, 40.6 rebounds, 12.4 assists, 4.6 blocks, 6.1 steals per game
  • LSU Tigers this season: 49% field goal percentage, 38.1 rebounds, 14.9 assists, 4.2 blocks, 6.1 steals per game

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • LSU -7.5; O/U 151.5

Mississippi State vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

Both Mississippi State and LSU have struggled so far this season when it comes to SEC play. Mississippi State is in a tough spot, coming off five straight losses, all of them in conference play. Things haven’t gone much better for LSU, as they’ve managed to win just one of their first seven SEC games. With both teams battling through rough stretches when playing conference games, this game offers a chance to finally shake off recent frustrations. Final Score Prediction, LSU Tigers win but fail to cover the spread, 75-71.

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