Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday January 10 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 01/10/2026, 06:32 AM ET

The Penn State Nittany Lions, holding a 9-6 overall record, but still searching for their first Big Ten victory this season, are hitting the road for a tough matchup in West Lafayette, Indiana. They’ll face the Purdue Boilermakers, who have been nearly unstoppable so far with a dominant 14-1 overall record and a perfect 4-0 mark in Big Ten play. For Penn State, this game represents their best opportunity yet to shake up the season and score a headline-grabbing upset against a highly ranked and formidable Purdue team. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.

Penn State vs. Purdue Game Information

  • January 10, 2026
  • 2:00pm EST
  • Mackey Arena
  • BTN

Purdue Form & Recent Results

Purdue enters this matchup riding the momentum of a six-game winning streak, showing impressive form as their season progresses. In their recent victory over Washington, the Boilermakers put on a strong performance, winning 81-73. Braden Smith was outstanding, pouring in 23 points and dishing out 7 assists to orchestrate the offense. Trey Kaufman-Renn was a dominant presence on the boards, grabbing 14 rebounds and providing a steady inside force. Purdue shot an impressive 57% from the field during that game, and although they hit just 33% of their shots from three-point range, their overall efficiency and relentless play paid off. They collected 37 total rebounds and maintained control for nearly the entire game, leading for 99% of the contest.

Throughout this season, Fletcher Loyer and Trey Kaufman-Renn have been reliable scorers for Purdue, each averaging 13.8 points per game and giving the team a consistent offensive spark. Close behind is Braden Smith, who has been both a scoring and playmaking threat with an average of 13.3 points and an impressive 9.5 assists per game so far this year. Kaufman-Renn, meanwhile, has emerged as Purdue’s top rebounder, pulling down an average of 10.1 rebounds each game, which has been crucial for controlling the glass and creating second-chance opportunities. Purdue’s offense has been clicking lately. Over their past five games, they have averaged 87.6 points per game, demonstrating their ability to put up big numbers. Playing at home has also been a significant advantage for the Boilermakers, as they hold a strong 8-1 record on their own court and are putting up an average of 86.6 points in those games. Currently ranked fifth in the latest AP Poll, Purdue is in excellent position as the season rolls on. As they gear up to host Penn State, the Boilermakers are aiming to keep climbing the rankings and secure an important conference victory. Penn State, on the other hand, is still searching for its first conference win, so Purdue has a great opportunity to take care of business at home and keep their successful run going.

Penn State Form & Recent Results

Penn State comes into this game looking to break out of a rough stretch, having lost two games in a row and four of their last five overall. In their most recent game, they played a tight matchup against Michigan but fell just short, losing 74-72. In that hard-fought contest, Ivan Juric was the standout performer, dropping 20 points to keep the Nittany Lions in the hunt. Josh Reed gave the team a big boost on the glass with 10 rebounds, and Freddie Dilione V contributed with 4 assists to help make plays for his teammates. Collectively, Penn State shot 78% from the free-throw line, grabbed a total of 43 rebounds, and turned the ball over 10 times during the game.

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As we look at the season overall, Kayden Mingo has been the main scoring threat for Penn State, averaging 14.9 points per contest. Not far behind is Freddie Dilione V, who has chipped in an impressive 14.3 points per game. When it comes to rebounding, Josh Reed has been reliable, averaging 4.1 boards each time out. For setting up his teammates, it’s been Kayden Mingo leading the way in assists, averaging 4.5 per game over the course of the season. Defensively, Penn State has struggled recently. Over their past five games, they’ve allowed opponents to score an average of 74 points. On the road, the Nittany Lions have an even 1-1 record, and their scoring average away from home sits at 79.5 points per game. All things considered, it’s been a season filled with frustrations and missed opportunities for Penn State. The team is hoping to turn things around as they prepare for a difficult road game against Purdue, who is the fifth-ranked team in the nation. With stiff competition ahead, the Nittany Lions are searching for anything to spark some momentum and positivity as they try to get back on track.

Key Stats

  • Penn State Nittany Lions this season: 47% field goal percentage, 31.9 rebounds, 13.5 assists, 1.7 blocks, 8.2 steals per game
  • Purdue Boilermakers this season: 51% field goal percentage, 39.6 rebounds, 20.7 assists, 3.7 blocks, 5.9 steals per game

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • PUR -21.5; O/U 152.5

Penn State vs. Purdue Picks and Prediction

Penn State’s defense hasn’t lived up to expectations so far this season, which is music to the ears of Purdue and their fans. The Boilermakers are eager to secure another Big Ten victory, especially with the Nittany Lions coming to town this Saturday. Purdue’s offense will be chomping at the bit to get on the scoreboard, hoping to capitalize on any slip-ups or missed assignments from the Penn State defense. If the Nittany Lions continue to struggle as they have in recent games, Purdue could find plenty of opportunities to make big plays and possibly swing the game in their favor. Final Score Prediction, Purdue Boilermakers win, but fail to cover the spread, 85-67.

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