Saint Joseph's Hawks vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Picks and Prediction for Wednesday February 18, 2026

By: David Delano Published 02/18/2026, 07:15 AM ET
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. St. Bonaventure prediction

The Saint Joseph Hawks (15-10, 7-5 A10) will be ready to face the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (14-11, 3-9 A10) on Wednesday night in a rematch from last month. The Hawks took the first meeting 68-64 as a 1.5-point home underdog on Jan. 14.

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Saint Joseph’s looking to snap skid

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks are on a two-game losing streak after falling on the road to George Mason 60-52 and Fordham 68-64 at home. Offensively, the Hawks are led by guard Jaiden Glover-Toscano, who averages 15.6 points per game, and Derek Simpson, who adds 13.1 points, 4.7 assists, and 1.4 steals. The Hawks take a lot of shots from three-point range,  but they’ve shot just 30.3% (333rd) on those attempts. Dasear Haskins grabs a team-best 6.3 rebounds per game and is fourth on the team averaging 11.1 ppg.

On defense, the Hawks rank 83rd nationally in adjusted efficiency and 59th in effective field goal percentage allowed. Justice Ajogbor leads the team and ranks 16th in the nation with 2.3 blocks per game.

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Defense has been a weak spot for the Bonnies

After starting the season 10-1, St. Bonaventure has lost 10 of their last 14 games and have only three conference wins on the season. Leading the team is 6'8 senior, Frank Mitchell with 16.1 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, followed by 5'11 guard Darryl Simmons II (16 ppg). Cayden Charles is next with 13 ppg, 6.5 rpg, and a team-best 1.5 steals. The Bonnies rank 100th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, 117th in effective field-goal percentage (52.8%), and shine for three-point range ranking 31st in the country (37.2%). They are also excellent on the offensive glass ranking 59th in offensive rebounding rate.

St. Bonaventure has struggled on the defensive end this season. They rank 232nd in adjusted defensive efficiency, 285th in opponent effective field goal percentage, and sit outside the top 300 in defending the three-point shot.

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Predictions

Hawks vs Bonnies ATS Pick:

  • Saint Joseph's Hawk +5 (4 units)

The strongest unit in this matchup will be the Hawks' defense, and they’re getting points to work with. Saint Joseph’s came into this game riding an eight-game winning streak against the spread before dropping their last two contests, which included wins over Dayton and George Washington.

On the other side, St. Bonaventure has failed to cover in each of their last three home games. The first meeting between these teams was a toss-up, and with the points available here, I like the Hawks to cover.

Hawks vs Bonnies Total Pick:

  • Under 145 (4 units)

Both teams enter this matchup trending heavily toward the under. St. Bonaventure has gone under in three straight games, while Saint Joseph’s has seen their last four contests fall below the total. I expect those trends to continue, as the Hawks boast a strong defense but rank among the nation’s weaker shooting teams. St. Bonaventure prefers a slower pace and has struggled to get to the free-throw line this season.

The first meeting between these teams produced just 132 combined points, and I’ll be taking the under again here.

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