Seattle U Redhawks vs Saint Mary's Gaels Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday January 4 2026

Seattle U hosts Saint Mary’s in a West Coast Conference clash on Sunday night in Seattle, WA. The Redhawks are 12-4 overall and 1-2 in conference play, while the Gaels are 14-2 and 3-0 in WCC action. Get ready for all the college basketball action with our free college basketball picks.

Saint Mary's comes in rated 29th overall according to KenPom, and Seattle is 107th overall.

Seattle off a heartbreaking loss

After going 11-2 in non-conference play, the Rehawks opened up play in the WCC with a 67-59 loss to San Francisco, followed by a 69-55 home victory over Washington State and a close 80-72 OT loss at Gonzaga.

Offensively, Seattle U ranks 225th in adjusted offensive efficiency (105.7) but moves at a respectable 150th in tempo, giving them flexibility to play both fast and controlled. The team excels on the offensive glass, which helps generate second-chance opportunities. Defensively, the Redhawks are excellent, ranked 33rd in adjusted efficiency, with Will Heimbrodt blocking 2.7 shots per game.

Brayden Maldonado leads the team with 15.8 PPG, followed by Will Heimbrodt with 13.3 PPG. Austin Maurer anchors the boards with 5.1 RPG, while Maleek Arington facilitates at 4.6 APG and contributes 1.9 SPG.

Saint Mary’s looking to stay unbeaten in the WCC

The Gaels come in on a five-game winning streak following a 78-57 home win over Portland. Saint Mary’s ranks 48th in adjusted offensive efficiency (118.7) and 28th defensively (98.3), demonstrating why they are one of the WCC’s elite teams. They shoot efficiently from all areas, hitting 35.5% from three and converting 81.5% of free throws—both top-100 nationally.

Paulius Murauskas leads Saint Mary’s with 18.6 PPG and 7.3 RPG, supported by Andrew McKeever’s 9.2 rebounds per game. Joshua Dent controls the offense with 4.8 assists per game, also adding 1.2 steals per contest. The Gaels excel at offensive rebounding (37.0% OR%), giving them second-chance opportunities even against disciplined defenses.

Seattle U vs Saint Mary’s Predictions

Seattle vs Saint Mary's ATS Pick:

• Saint Mary’s -7 (3 units)

Seattle gave Gonzaga everything it could handle in their last game, but I expect a bit of a letdown here. Saint Mary’s is the side I trust, especially on the road against a young Seattle team. The Gaels bring experience, efficiency, and depth, hitting shots from all over the floor while playing strong, structured defense. Seattle U can crash the boards and get second-chance points, but Saint Mary’s consistency and disciplined scoring make them the team to back to cover the spread.

Seattle U vs Saint Mary’s Total Pick:

• Under 140 (4 units)

The under looks like the play here. St. Mary’s has hit the under in its last two games, and each of the first three conference games for Seattle has gone under. I expect that low scoring trend to continue on Sunday, as these are two of the top defensive teams in the country, with St. Mary’s 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency and Seattle right behind at 33rd.

The Redhawks, however, do struggle offensively, so they’ll have to make this game ugly to keep it close. With so much on the line in this conference matchup, don’t expect fireworks; expect a grind-it-out, physical game where the under cashes.