UC Riverside vs Cal State Bakersfield Pick and Prediction for Thursday January 8 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/08/2026, 06:55 AM ET

The UC Riverside Highlanders travel to the Icardo Center to face the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners on Thursday, January 8, 2026. This Big West clash, scheduled for 9:30 PM EST on ESPN+, features two teams looking to find their footing in conference play. UC Riverside enters coming off a difficult blowout loss to Hawaii, while Bakersfield looks to capitalize on their home-court advantage. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on all Big West action, be sure to check out the latest free college basketball picks over at Winners and Whiners.

UC Riverside Highlanders: Seeking Offensive Consistency

The Highlanders (6-9, 1-2 Big West) have struggled with consistency throughout the first half of the season. Averaging 72.3 points per game, UC Riverside has shown flashes of offensive potential but has been plagued by defensive lapses, allowing nearly 79 points per game. Their field goal percentage of 45% is respectable, but they will need a more balanced attack to compete on the road.

UC Riverside’s roster appears relatively healthy heading into this matchup. There are no reported injuries for the Highlanders at this time. The team continues to rely on the production of Andrew Henderson (16.1 PPG) and Osiris Grady (6.5 RPG) to stabilize the frontcourt. Note that former key contributor Kaleb Smith is no longer with the program, having transferred to Grand Canyon during the offseason.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners: Protecting the Icardo Center

The Roadrunners (7-9, 1-3 Big West) enter this game as the favorite according to ESPN Analytics (62.2% chance to win). Bakersfield has been slightly more productive offensively than Riverside, averaging 73.6 points per game, led by Dailin Smith (14.9 PPG). They are particularly active on the glass and on the defensive perimeter, averaging 8.1 steals and over 5 blocks per game.

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Like their opponents, Cal State Bakersfield reports no active injuries to their main rotation players for tonight’s contest. The team is coming off a high-energy performance where Jaden Alexander exploded for 35 points, and they will look to feed that momentum in front of their home crowd.

UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Cal State Bakersfield Prediction

This matchup favors the Roadrunners primarily due to their defensive activity and the Highlanders' recent struggles away from home. Bakersfield’s ability to force turnovers and protect the rim (5.4 BPG) should disrupt a Riverside offense that has gone cold in high-pressure road environments recently.

UC Riverside vs. Cal State Bakersfield ATS Pick

  • Pick: Cal State Bakersfield -4.5 (-110)

The Roadrunners have shown much better poise at home, and their defensive metrics—specifically in steals and blocks—suggest they can get the Highlanders out of their rhythm. Riverside is coming off a massive 43-point loss to Hawaii, and bouncing back against a gritty Bakersfield team on the road is a tall task. Expect the Roadrunners to cover the modest spread.

UC Riverside vs. Cal State Bakersfield Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 149.5 (-110)

Both teams have defensive averages that suggest a higher-scoring affair. Riverside allows 78.9 points per game, and Bakersfield allows 77.9. With both teams featuring healthy rosters and Bakersfield coming off a game where they scored 81 points, the pace of this game should comfortably push the total over 150.

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