UTEP vs. FIU Pick and Prediction for Sunday, January 4, 2026

The UTEP Miners (4-9, 0-2 CUSA) travel to the Ocean Bank Convocation Center in Miami to face the Florida International Panthers (8-5, 1-1 CUSA). Both teams are looking to find their footing in Conference USA play after a busy non-conference slate.

UTEP is currently on a two-game slide, most recently falling 79-55 to Missouri State on Friday. FIU, meanwhile, enters with momentum following an 89-74 victory over New Mexico State. The Panthers have been particularly strong at home this season (6-1), making this a difficult road test for a struggling Miners squad. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of college basketball action, be sure to check out the latest free NCAAB picks over at Winners and Whiners.

FIU's High-Octane Attack

The Panthers boast one of the most explosive offenses in Conference USA, averaging 88.2 points per game. They are led by junior guard Casimir Stephenson, who has been sensational this season with 18.2 PPG and 7.0 RPG. Stephenson is a triple-threat who recently recorded 25 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists in a game earlier this season.

FIU’s style is defined by defensive pressure and transition scoring. They rank near the top of the nation in steals (10.6 SPG), spearheaded by Zawdie Jackson Jr. (1.5 SPG). If the Panthers can force UTEP into live-ball turnovers, their ability to score in bunches will likely overwhelm the Miners' transition defense.

UTEP: Searching for Consistency

The Miners have struggled to find an offensive identity, averaging just 70.3 PPG while shooting 44% from the floor. Forward Elijah Jones has been the primary bright spot, averaging 14.1 PPG and 4.2 RPG. Jones is coming off a productive stretch, but he often lacks secondary scoring support when the Miners' backcourt struggles with shooting efficiency.

Defensively, UTEP has been middle-of-the-pack, allowing 72.1 PPG. Their biggest challenge on Sunday will be containing FIU's pace. The Miners prefer a more methodical, half-court game, but they have shown vulnerability against teams that push the ball. To stay competitive, UTEP must limit their turnovers (currently 12.2 per game) and dominate the offensive glass to keep the Panthers' offense off the floor.

Analysis & Betting Picks

FIU vs UTEP ATS Pick

• Spread: FIU -8.5 (-110)

The situational factors heavily favor the home team. FIU is 8-2 against the spread (ATS) this season and has covered in six of their seven home games. UTEP, conversely, has struggled on the road (2-5 ATS) and is currently reeling from a 24-point loss. Given FIU's ability to create "easy" points through their press, they should be able to extend a lead late and cover the single-digit spread.

FIU vs UTEP Total Pick

• Total: Over 154.5 (-115)

While UTEP doesn't play at a breakneck speed, FIU almost always forces a high-possession game. The "Over" has hit in six consecutive games for the Panthers when they play as the underdog or slight favorite. With FIU likely to push toward the 85-point mark at home and UTEP's Elijah Jones capable of exploiting the Panthers' occasionally porous interior defense, this game has a high probability of clearing the 155-point threshold.