UTSA vs. Texas State, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, November 12, 2025

UTSA (1-1, 0-0 American) will be trying to pick up their first road win of the season when they visit Strahan Arena on Wednesday night to face Texas State (1-2, 0-0 Sun Belt) at 8 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Roadrunners vs. Bobcats prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Roadrunners are coming off a 77-60 loss to SIU Edward as six-point favorites. The Bobcats are coming off a 79-71 loss to Tulane as 12-point underdogs.

UTSA is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Texas State. The Bobcats won the last meeting in 2023, 72-62.

UTSA Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Roadrunners followed up their season-opening win over College of Biblical Studies with a loss to SIU Edward. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second win of the season when they play on Wednesday.

UTSA averages 78.5 points per game through two games. They’ve made 40 percent of their field goals and 27 percent of their three-pointers.

Macaleab Rich leads UTSA with 15 points and four rebounds. Jamir Simpson is averaging 14.5 points and five rebounds per game, while Kaidon Rayfield averages 11.5 points and 11 rebounds per game.

UTSA is giving up 53.5 points per game. Opponents have made 48 percent of their field goals and 43 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Texas State Going For Second Consecutive Home Win

The Bobcats followed up their win over Texas A&M-San Antonio with a loss to Tulane in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second straight home win when they play on Wednesday.

Texas State averages 77.7 points per game. They’ve made 49 percent of their field goals and 40 percent of their three-pointers.

Mark Drone leads Texas State with 11 points and 2.3 assists per game. Franck Emmou averages 10.3 points and 3.3 rebounds per game, while Kaden Gumbs averages nine points and 5.3 assists per game.

Texas State is giving up 72.3 points per game. Opponents have made 49 percent of their field goals and 45 percent of their three-pointers against them.

UTSA vs. Texas State Picks

Point Spread Pick for UTSA vs. Texas State

• Texas State Bobcats -1 (4 Units)

The Bobcats have the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 75 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 76 percent of their free throws while the Roadrunners make 62 percent of theirs. They rebound the ball well and grab more than eight offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give up many easy-scoring chances. The Roadrunners struggled defensively in their last game, giving up more than 75 points in the loss, and will have a hard time slowing down the Bobcats. Take Texas State to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for UTSA vs. Texas State

• Under 147.5 (4 Units)

The Roadrunners played under the total in their last two games, while the Bobcats played under the total in two of their last three games. UTSA averages 78.5 points per game. They play at the 144th-fastest pace in the country, averaging 75.2 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 55 points per game at home. The Bobcats average 77.7 points per game. They play at the 285th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 69.3 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 53.5 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Bobcats and Roadrunners played under the total in two of their last three meetings.