Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Prediction for Sunday April 5 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 04/05/2026, 06:00 AM ET
Lakers vs Rockets Game 3 prediction

The Houston Rockets, sitting at 48–29, head to San Francisco on Sunday to take on the Golden State Warriors, who are 36–41, at the Chase Center. The two teams have split their matchups so far this season, with each side winning one game, so there’s a little extra on the line here. With the season series even, both the Rockets and the Warriors will be aiming to come out on top and take the edge in the rivalry. Get involved in the action with our free NBA picks.

Houston vs. Golden State Game Information

  • April 5, 2026
  • 10:00pm EST
  • Chase Center
  • NBC/Peacock

Golden State Form & Recent Results

Golden State heads into this matchup in a bit of a slump, riding a three-game losing streak and having lost three of their last five games overall. Their most recent game was a 118–111 defeat against Cleveland on Thursday, and despite the loss, there were still some standout performances. Brandin Podziemski led the way offensively with 25 points, Gary Payton II was active on the glass with 12 rebounds, and Draymond Green helped keep the offense flowing by handing out nine assists. As a team in that game, the Warriors finished with 46 total rebounds and committed 12 turnovers, but they’ll feel like they missed opportunities to control the game with cleaner execution.

Stephen Curry continues to be the Warriors’ main scoring option so far this season, putting up 27.2 points per game. Jimmy Butler III has settled in as the second scoring threat, averaging 20 points a night, and he’s also been their most consistent rebounder at 5.6 boards per game. When it comes to playmaking, Draymond Green remains the engine, leading the team with 5.4 assists per game. The biggest concern right now, though, is on the defensive end: over their last five games, Golden State has been giving up 118.6 points per game. If they want to defend their home floor and take down the Rockets on Sunday, they’ll need a sharper, more physical defensive game and better control of key stretches where opponents have been piling up points.

Houston Form & Recent Results

Houston heads into this game riding a five-game winning streak and looking like one of the hottest teams in the league right now. They most recently dominated Utah at home on Friday with a huge 140–106 win, and it never really felt close. Kevin Durant led the way with 25 points, while Amen Thompson made his presence felt on the glass with 8 rebounds and Reed Sheppard helped keep everything flowing offensively by handing out 7 assists. Houston was extremely efficient all night, shooting 55% from the field and knocking down 47% of their threes, while also hitting 77% of their free throws. They took care of the ball reasonably well with 11 turnovers, controlled the boards with 46 rebounds, and most importantly, they were in command almost the entire time, leading for 96% of the game, which shows just how one-sided it was.

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This year, Durant has been Houston’s main scoring option, putting up 25.8 points per game and consistently setting the tone offensively. Alperen Şengün has been right behind him as the second-leading scorer at 20.6 points per game, and he’s doing much more than just scoring. Şengün is also the team’s top rebounder at 8.9 boards per game, and he leads the Rockets in assists as well, averaging 6.2 per game, making him a real hub for their offense. Over this five-game stretch, Houston has been piling up points at an impressive rate, averaging 124.6 points per game, and that firepower is going to be their biggest weapon again as they travel to San Francisco for a tough game against the Warriors, hoping to keep the streak alive with another strong offensive performance.

Key Stats

  • Houston’s Alperen Sengun this season: 20.6 points, 8.9 rebounds, 6.2 assists per game
  • Golden State’s Jimmy Butler III this season: 20 points, 5.6 rebounds per game

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

  • HOU -3.5; O/U 225.5

Houston vs. Golden State Picks and Prediction

Houston’s offense has been on a tear this season, playing with a fast pace and a ton of confidence, and that could spell trouble for Golden State’s defense when the two teams meet in San Francisco. The Warriors will definitely try to slow the Rockets down and take them out of their rhythm, but that’s easier said than done right now. Houston has been scoring in bunches and finding good looks all over the floor, and until someone proves they can consistently contain them, it’s hard to see that attack cooling off anytime soon. Final Score Prediction, Houston Rockets win and cover the spread, 110-103.

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