Little Rock vs. Texas State, Picks and Prediction, Friday, November 21, 2025

Little Rock (2-3, 0-0 OVC) will be trying to pick up their second road win of the season when they visit Strahan Arena on Friday night to face Texas State (4-2, 0-0 Sun Belt) at 8 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Trojans vs. Bobcats prediction. Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

The Trojans are coming off an 89-68 loss to Murray State as 13.5-point underdogs. The Bobcats are coming off a 63-49 win over Abilene Christian as 1.5-point favorites.

Texas State is 8-2 in its last 10 games against Little Rock. The Trojans won the last meeting in 2023, 71-66.

Little Rock Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Trojans followed up their win over Ball State with a loss to Murray State in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their second road win of the season when they play on Friday.

Little Rock averages 69.8 points per game. They’ve made 47.4 percent of their field goals and 46.3 percent of their three-pointers.

Johnathan Lawson leads the Trojans with 13.2 points and 4.8 rebounds per game. Cameron Wallace averages 12 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while Braxton Bayless averages 10.2 points and 3.4 rebounds per game.

Little Rock is giving up 79 points per game. Opponents have made 51 percent of their field goals and 43 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Texas State Going For Fourth Consecutive Win

The Bobcats bounced back from their loss to Tulane with wins over UTSA, TSU, and Abilene Christian, covering the spread in all three games. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight win when they play on Friday.

Texas State averages 75.5 points per game. They’ve made 48 percent of their field goals and 37 percent of their three-pointers.

DJ Hall leads the Bobcats with 10.8 points and 6.5 rebounds per game. Dimp Pernell averages 10.3 points and 2.2 rebounds per game, while Mark Drone averages 10.2 points and two rebounds per game.

Texas State is giving up 67 points per game. Opponents have made 42 percent of their field goals and 36 percent of their three-pointers against them.

Little Rock vs. Texas State Picks

Point Spread Pick for Little Rock vs. Texas State

• Texas State Bobcats to cover. (4 Units)

The Bobcats have won three straight games, while the Trojans have lost three of their last four games. Texas State has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, scoring more than 75 points per game while making over 47 percent of their shots. They’ve also done a better job at the charity stripe, making over 74 percent of their free throws, while the Trojans make less than 65 percent of theirs. They rebound the ball well and grab more than nine offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over much and won’t give up many easy-scoring opportunities. The Trojans aren’t very good defensively, and they’re giving up more than 80 points per game on the road, while allowing opponents to make more than 50 percent of their shots, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bobcats. Take Texas State to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Little Rock vs. Texas State

• Over (4 Units)

The Trojans average 69.8 points per game. They play at the 314th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 68.9 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 61.7 points per game at home. The Bobcats average 75.5 points per game. They play at the 278th-fastest pace in the nation, averaging 70.4 possessions per game, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 83 points per game on the road. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.